Venezuela: Maduro Wins 3rd Presidential Term

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Facts

  • Venezuela's electoral authority has declared Pres. Nicolás Maduro received 51.2% of the vote and won Sunday's presidential election.[1]
  • The 61-year-old Maduro dedicated his win to his mentor and predecessor, Hugo Chávez, vowing to 'defend our democracy, our law and our people.'[2]
  • With 80% of the vote counted, the electoral authority reported that the opposition candidate and Maduro's main rival, Edmundo González, received about 44% support.[3]
  • The electoral authority — allegedly governed by Maduro supporters — reportedly delayed announcing the results by six hours and didn't immediately release the ballots from each of the 30K polling booths.[4]
  • Meanwhile, opposition leader Maria Corina Machado claimed González secured 70% of the vote and asked the country's military to uphold the results and be 'on the right side of history.'[5]
  • An exit poll by Edison Research projected González winning the election with 65% of the vote and Maduro receiving 31%.[6]

Sources: [1]Al Jazeera, [2]Guardian, [3]BBC News, [4]CBS, [5]Reuters and [6]Edison Research.

Narratives

  • Narrative A, as provided by Peoplesdispatch. In the most transparent, peaceful elections in the country's history, the incumbent president cleanly and unequivocally defeated a pro-imperialist. The opposition must accept the results or document any alleged fraud and make its findings public. If it can't — which it will not — it should stop trying to tarnish Venezuela's democracy and allow Maduro to rebuild the country and salvage its economy.
  • Narrative B, as provided by Washington Post. Maduro's victory was neither free nor fair. The opposition was denied access to most of the voting tallies, preventing the verification of the results. This outcome doesn't reflect the will of the Venezuelan voters, who wanted an end to Maduro's decade-old autocratic rule. The government resorted to fraud to win, but González is Venezuela's rightful president-elect.
  • Narrative C, as provided by New York Times. This result will have repercussions beyond Venezuela. Venezuela is in a deep economic, political, and social crisis, forcing over 7.8M people to flee the country. This exodus could increase, as Maduro's victory will mean more state-sponsored repression, an imploding economy, and the continued erosion of democratic checks and balances. The international implications of this election need greater focus.

Predictions