US: Illegal Border Crossings Lowest Since 2020

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Facts

• This comes as the Biden administration issued an executive order on June 5 that enacted stricter rules for granting asylum claims.^[1]
• The June policy sees the US-Mexico border temporarily closed down when the average number of daily crossings exceeds 2.5K. The border reopens once this average drops and is held at 1.5K for a week straight.^[2]
• According to government statistics, arrests at the US-Mexico border had seen a downward trend before Biden's executive action, falling from 141K in February to 137K in March, 129K in April, 118K in May, and 84K in June.^[3]
• The preliminary estimates indicate that July's numbers are 30% lower than those from the previous month and below the average monthly border crossings during Donald Trump's presidency in 2019.^[4]

Sources: ^[1]The Texas Tribune, ^[2]Verity, ^[3]BBC News and ^[4]Peoplemag.

Narratives

• Democratic narrative, as provided by Newsweek. According to the most recent immigration data, the Biden administration has taken critical steps to address the challenges at the southern border and reduce the high level of illegal immigration. If the effective measures at the border are sustained, the temporary asylum restriction might be lifted in the near future as Biden balances the need to protect the US' border with looking out for vulnerable asylum seekers.
• Republican narrative, as provided by The Hill. While on the surface, these numbers may seem promising, America is currently experiencing the most severe border crisis in its history. Biden reversed almost every immigration program of the previous government without establishing viable alternatives. His executive order was nothing more than a last-minute facade to boost the Democratic Party's appeal ahead of November.

Predictions