Survey: Biden Poll Numbers Fall Near Lowest Point

Facts

• According to a new Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research survey, US Pres. Joe Biden's approval rating has dropped to 38% after having risen from 41% in January to 45% last month.¹
• Among his own party, 76% of Democrats approve of Biden overall. Younger party members are less likely to approve of him, with 66% of Democrats under the age of 45 polling favorably, while 85% of those older than 45 polled in his favor.²
• The survey results, collected from 1,081 US adults from March 16-20 with a 4% margin of error, comes amid the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank as well as existing fears of a recession.³
• Regarding the economy, only about 25% of respondents said they think the country is headed in the right direction. On foreign policy and climate change, the president received 39% and 41%, respectively.⁴
• His lowest approval rating came at 36% last July when rising costs began to impact US households before hovering around 40% in recent months. This time, poll respondents gave mixed feelings as voters await the president's decision on a reelection bid.⁴
• Though his office has long stated that he "intends to run," Biden has yet to formally announce a 2024 presidential reelection campaign. As he would be 82 years old on Inaugurations Day 2025, some Democrats are calling for someone younger to take his place.³

Sources: ¹The Hill, ²USA Today, ³FOX News, ⁴ABC News.

Narratives

• Democratic narrative, as provided by Vox. While the numbers don't paint the prettiest picture, Biden has what a reelection campaign needs the most: a strong policy record. He lifted US troops out of Afghanistan, mobilized the largest vaccine rollout in US history, boosted funding for scientific research, and skillfully geared the country away from an impending recession, among other accomplishments. The only argument against him is his age, but he's already become the oldest president ever while still achieving a historic agenda.
• Republican narrative, as provided by FOX News. Biden and the Democrats are simply living in an alternate reality. The president has opened the floodgates at the border, made a majority of Americans economically worse off than before he took office, and remains silent on his party's lockdown measures that have stolen years of education from American youth. The poll numbers certainly reflect this, but all Americans need to do is look at their wallet and watch the news to know Biden is a losing 2024 candidate.

Predictions