South Africa: ANC Loses 30-Year Majority in Landmark Election

Facts

  • With more than 99% of the votes counted on Saturday, South Africa's ruling African National Congress (ANC) lost its parliamentary majority for the first time in 30 years, receiving just over 40% of the vote in Wednesday’s election.1
  • The ANC, which received 57.5% of the vote in the last parliamentary election, is expected to share power and form a coalition government in Africa's most industrialized economy.2
  • The main opposition party, the Democratic Alliance (DA), secured about 22% of the vote, while uMkhonto we Sizwe (MK), a new party led by former Pres. Jacob Zuma, managed to receive some 15% of the vote. The Economic Freedom Fighters has 10%.3
  • Zuma’s party is reportedly willing to join hands with the ANC, provided Pres. Cyril Ramaphosa resigns as its leader. Meanwhile, the ANC has said it wasn’t considering an alliance with the DA.4
  • South Africa’s constitution mandates that the new parliament must sit and elect a new president within 14 days of election results being officially declared.5

Sources: 1NBC, 2Reuters, 3CNN, 4BBC News and 5Guardian.

Narratives

  • Narrative A, as provided by CNN. South Africans have punished a party — which has never lost since the country's first democratic elections in 1994 — for its failure to fix chronic joblessness, crumbling infrastructure, and widespread corruption. This election result is a momentous breakthrough for South Africa's democracy, which desperately needed to break one-party dominance to rescue itself.
  • Narrative B, as provided by SowetanLIVE. The fact that the ANC still has the largest share of votes shows that South African voters have once again invested confidence in Ramaphosa's ability to continue to lead the country. The ANC led South Africa out of apartheid — it will now lead a credible coalition government as the country enters a new period of profound change.

Predictions