Russia Says It Thwarted Another Cross-Border Attempt

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Facts

  • A Russian official said that the country's troops repelled a further armed attempt to cross the border on Sunday.[1]
  • Without specifying whether Ukrainian troops were behind the attempt, Alexander Bogomaz, governor of the bordering Bryansk region, said that Russian security forces 'thwarted an attempt to cross the state border by an armed group,' adding that, 'the enemy was eliminated.'[1]
  • There was no comment or acknowledgment from Ukraine at the time of reporting. While its forces launched an ongoing assault into Russia's Kursk region on Aug. 6, two other attempts were launched by the Russian Volunteer Corps and the Freedom of Russia Legion.[2]
  • These groups are reportedly made up of ethnic Russians who immigrated to Ukraine and other European nations before fighting in Ukraine's International Legion. Nonetheless, they conceded that past attempts to cross the Russian border were aided by Ukraine's military.[3]
  • Meanwhile, according to the latest analysis from the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), a US military-affiliated think tank that tracks troop positions in the conflict, Ukrainian forces advanced west of Olgovka in the Kursk region over the weekend. The territory had previously been taken by Ukrainian forces before they were pushed back by Russian counter-measures.[4]
  • Elsewhere in the Kursk region, ISW reported that Russian forces clawed back some territory near Martynovka over the weekend. Meanwhile, in Ukraine, Russian forces made a number of advances in the Donetsk region, ISW said — namely near Vuhledar and Pokrovsk.[4]

Sources: [1]TASS, [2]Associated Press, [3]Yahoo News and [4]Understandingwar.

Narratives

  • Pro-establishment narrative, as provided by Associated Press. As Russia still struggles to contain the Ukrainian offensive in Kursk, another attempt has been made to cross the border. However, it's not exactly clear who is responsible at this stage.
  • Pro-Russia narrative, as provided by TASS. Russian forces have thwarted another attempt to cross the state border. The enemy has been eliminated and stability was swiftly returned to the border area.

Predictions