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Republic of Georgia's Ruling Party Claims Election Victory
Image credit: Diego Fedele/Stringer/Getty Images News via Getty Images

Republic of Georgia's Ruling Party Claims Election Victory

Georgian Pres. Salome Zourabichvili has called for protests outside parliament on Monday after the country's ruling party, Georgian Dream, secured 54% of the vote in Saturday's disputed parliamentary election....

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Facts

  • Georgian Pres. Salome Zourabichvili has called for protests outside parliament on Monday after the country's ruling party, Georgian Dream, secured 54% of the vote in Saturday's disputed parliamentary election.[1]
  • The country's electoral commission said that the Georgian Dream had won 89 seats in the 150-seat parliament — far more than the 76 needed to form a government and appoint a prime minister.[2][3]
  • Georgia's opposition parties — Gvaramia, Melia, Girchi, and Droa — have claimed that the elections were 'stolen' and will share evidence of election fraud with 'local and international observers.'[4]
  • Two exit polls — by Edison and HarrisX — put the opposition ahead of the Georgian Dream, 51.9% to 40.9% and 48% to 42%, respectively. A third poll by Imedi TV found that the ruling party would win with 56% of the votes.[5][6]
  • Cases of physical altercations were reported at multiple polling stations across the country, with voting being suspended at a polling station in Marneuli's 69th precint due to the violence.[7][8]
  • The vote on Saturday was widely considered a referendum on whether the former Soviet nation should align with the West or Russia, even as the Georgian Dream maintains that EU membership is a goal for 2030.[9][10]

Sources: [1]BBC News (a), [2]Reuters, [3]Dw.Com, [4]Georgia Today, [5]New York Times, [6]BBC News (b), [7]POLITICO, [8]CNN, [9]Wsj and [10]Washington Post.

Narratives

  • Pro-establishment narrative, as provided by RadioFreeEurope/RadioLiberty. The opposition should feel disappointment that Georgian Dream may emerge as the winner. However, given the election violations reported, and the fact that the party is unlikely to secure a constitutional majority, the opposition must celebrate its own survival.
  • Establishment-critical narrative, as provided by Sputnik International. Western powers sought to interfere in this election but to no avail. The people of Georgia delivered a decisive message of support and a clear mandate for a party that supports conservative values and, contrary to the smear campaigns, integration into Europe.

Predictions

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