Polls Show Harris Making Gains Among Black Voters

Improve the News Foundation -

Facts

  • At least three recent polls have shown that the nomination of US Vice Pres. Kamala Harris as the Democratic presidential candidate is receiving boosted support from African Americans.[1][2][3]
  • According to Reuters/Ipsos poll responses gathered in July, Harris leads Republican candidate Donald Trump by 58 points among Black voters, 70% to 12% — an eight-point increase over Pres. Joe Biden's lead in May and June (59% to 9%).[1]
  • A new CBS News/YouGov survey found that 74% of Black registered voters will definitely vote, 16% up from July when Biden was the nominee, while another 14% will probably vote. Among likely Black voters, Harris leads Trump, 81% to 18%.[2][4]
  • Meanwhile, the latest NPR/PBS News/Marist poll found that Black voters, of whom 81% will definitely vote and 11% will likely vote, are second only to registered Democrats as the most likely to support Harris over Trump, 73% to 20%.[3][5]
  • Despite accounting for only 11% of voters, African Americans are a key demographic for Democratic candidates. Black voters were crucial to electing Biden in 2020, notably in Georgia, but have reportedly gravitated away from the party since.[6][1]

Sources: [1]Reuters, [2]CBS, [3]PBS NewsHour, [4]YouGov, [5]Marist Poll and [6]Al Jazeera.

Narratives

  • Democratic narrative, as provided by New York Times. Too many left-leaning Democratic voters had concerns over Biden's ability to challenge Donald Trump, and African Americans were no exception. His replacement alone was likely to boost overall support for the Democratic nominee, and the prospect of electing another Black candidate will indeed help Democrats regain Black votes lost to the GOP.
  • Republican narrative, as provided by Daily Caller. While it's true that some African Americans may vote for Kamala Harris based on the demographics she physically represents, this will have little impact on the presidential race. Black voters aren't as easy to manipulate as the mainstream media thinks; most of them have already realized that Trump is best for America.

Predictions