Polling Gives Biden Slight 2024 Edge
In a hypothetical 2024 Presidential Election matchup, a Reuters/Ipsos poll gave Joe Biden a 2% lead over Donald Trump, with 37% in favor of the current president, 35% in favor of the former president, and 28% picking neither.
Facts
- In a hypothetical 2024 Presidential Election matchup, a Reuters/Ipsos poll gave Joe Biden a 2% lead over Donald Trump, with 37% in favor of the current president, 35% in favor of the former president, and 28% picking neither.1
- The data was taken from the responses of 4,414 US adults between July 11-17, with a margin for error of 2 points.1
- According to the polling, Trump also holds the lead for the Republican nomination with 47% in contrast to Ron DeSantis’ 19%.2
- 73% of independents stated they would be inclined not to vote for a candidate who wished to ban or restrict abortion, while both Democrats and Republicans were more optimistic than pessimistic about the economy in the next year.1
- In addition, the latest Morning Consult poll also gave Biden a 2% lead over Trump by 43% to 41%, a 1% increase from the week prior.3
- The news comes as Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) claimed that Trump was once again being targeted by the US Dept. of Justice due to his rise in 2024 opinion polling.4
Sources: 1Reuters, 2Gazette, 3Benzinga, and 4Daily Mail.
Narratives
- Republican narrative, as provided by Yahoo News. Despite the Biden administration’s best efforts alongside some policy successes, poor opinion polling will not budge. Thanks to the likes of inflation, stubbornly high prices, family drama, and age, the current President’s polling continues to look historically dismal.
- Democratic narrative, as provided by Guardian. Pres. Biden has a track record of beating Trump — which is vital for the future of America post-2024. Interpreting opinion polling is both tricky and often futile — however, the combination of Bidenomics and his record head-to-head against Trump bodes well for the current president.
