New Poll Shows Trump Winning 5 Battleground States
A new poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College, and released Sunday, shows former Pres. Donald Trump leading Pres. Joe Biden in five of the six most important battleground states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania — one year before a potential rematch of thos...
Facts
- A new poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College, and released Sunday, shows former Pres. Donald Trump leading Pres. Joe Biden in five of the six most important battleground states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania — one year before a potential rematch of those candidates in 2024.1
- Biden, who lost the four states by four to 10 points each, only won the sixth battleground state of Wisconsin, where he held a two-point lead.2
- Meanwhile, a new CBS/YouGov reports more voters believe that they will be better off financially if Trump defeats Biden, and more voters think Trump has a better chance of keeping the US out of a war if he returns to the White House.3
- In addition, 73% of Americans believe things are going badly in America — the most in calendar year 2023.3
- A third poll released by ABC News/Ipsos similarly shows 76% of Americans believing the country is headed in the wrong direction, with 23% thinking the US is headed in the right direction.4
- The ABC News/Ipsos poll also shows 33% of Americans viewing Biden favorably, with 29% holding a favorable view of Trump.4
Sources: 1The New York Times, 2USA Today, 3CBS and 4ABC News.
Narratives
- Democratic narrative, as provided by CNBC. We're a year from the 2024 election and by almost every economic measure the US is making economic gains and successfully emerging from the COVID era. If voters aren’t feeling the financial benefits and are in turn blaming Biden, then the president and his campaign have a year to rally voters to a strong electoral victory. Plus, polls are also showing that Trump's morass of legal woes could swing polls strongly in Biden's favor if the former president is convicted.
- Pro-Trump narrative, as provided by FOX News. There’s no way for Democrats or the Biden administration to sugarcoat this — the US has serious issues and there is global chaos on Biden’s watch. Biden’s 'big government' tendencies and ineffective policies have caused this and show no signs of getting better. A return of the Trump administration is the only way out.
