Italy: Right-Wing Meloni Expected to Become Next PM

Facts

  • Giorgia Meloni, leader of Italy's right-wing coalition, is set to become the country's first female prime minister ever, as her bloc is predicted to have won a clear majority in Italy's general election on Sunday.
  • An exit poll for state broadcaster RAI indicates that the conservative coalition has won between 41-45% of votes. Full results are expected by later on Monday, but both the Democratic Party and the Five Star Movement have conceded defeat and Meloni has claimed victory.
  • Based on Interior Ministry provisional results, Meloni's Brothers of Italy party is projected to have garnered 26.46% of the vote, a figure larger than the entire center-left alliance. Turnout was at 63.82% by the time polls closed, a historically low mark.
  • This result represents a meteoric rise for the Brothers of Italy, after winning just 4.5% of the vote in 2018. Meloni has campaigned on a platform of reducing taxes, stopping "illegal immigration" via naval blocks, and protecting Italian interests within the EU.
  • Though Italy's PM is chosen indirectly by the country's president in a month-long process, Meloni is poised to receive the mandate as her party appears to be dominant in the winning coalition.
  • This snap election came as the PM Mario Draghi's government collapsed in July and the first meeting of the new parliament is scheduled for Oct. 13.

Sources: Bloomberg, Reuters, BBC News, Al Jazeera, Washington Post, and CNN.

Narratives

  • Left narrative, as provided by The Guardian. Europe must keep a close eye on Italy's far-right, as history has shown that what happens in Rome is soon replicated abroad. And it's hard to find a worse prospect than several Meloni-like leaders coming to power across Europe. Though she acts as if she is a political moderate, Meloni evokes the rhetoric of fascism, is inspired by Hungary's Orbán, and has an ambiguous approach to Putin.
  • Right narrative, as provided by Breitbart. The mainstream left campaign of fear and hate against Meloni hasn't deceived Italians. While Meloni being appointed PM surely is scary to the EU, markets, and those usurping Italy's sovereignty, the nation has expressed its support for this path, which is the only one to restore freedom and pride in Italy.

Predictions