Chris Christie to Announce 2024 Presidential Campaign

Facts

  • Former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie will reportedly announce his bid for the 2024 Republican presidential candidacy next week during a town hall event at St. Anselm College on June 6.1
  • Christie eventually endorsed former Pres. Donald Trump after dropping out of the primary in 2016. He then prepared Trump for the 2020 debates but has become a critic of the GOP frontrunner since Trump began denying the 2020 election results.2
  • Members of Christie’s campaign team said he plans to offer the party "a happy warrior who speaks his mind, takes risks and is happy to punch Donald Trump in the nose," while aiming to run "a national race" and "non-traditional campaign."3
  • Christie’s 2024 run seemed to go from speculation to reality when New Hampshire radio host Chris Ryan revealed Christie's campaign would focus on New Hampshire, and said New York Mets billionaire owner Steve Cohen would be one of Christie's campaign donors.4
  • Christie's "Tell It Like It Is" PAC [Political Action Committee] will be run by Brian Jones, a former advisor to Senators John McCain and Mitt Romney's presidential bids in 2008 and 2012, respectively.5
  • Christie would join a crowded field of Trump challengers, including former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott, and Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis.1

Sources: 1ABC News, 2NBC, 3Guardian, 4Breitbart, and 5Daily Caller.

Narratives

  • Anti-Trump narrative, as provided by New York Times. Christie is the Republican Party’s best hope to sell a message of hope rather than grievance to voters and derail the unpopular and criminally-charged Trump from claiming the nomination. Christie broke away from Trump over the latter’s lies about the 2020 election results, and anyone who denies the results of an election is a threat to democracy who should be kept out of the White House.
  • Pro-Trump narrative, as provided by Red State. Christie is becoming irrelevant to the Republican Party and US politics in general. Trump is the clear frontrunner with tepid resistance from those in Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis’ camp. But no one is clamoring for Christie to join this race because this is Trump’s nomination, and no one is going to vote for a turncoat who doesn’t represent the party’s values.

Predictions

Who will be the Republican nominee for the 2024 US Presidential Election?
The aggregate of 874 Metaculus community forecasters was None on Jun 01, 2023.