Canada: Trudeau Survives Second No-Confidence Vote

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Facts

  • Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau survived his second non-confidence motion in parliament on Tuesday. The Conservative Party presented the motion in an attempt to overthrow the minority Liberal government and call for an early election.[1]
  • Members of the House of Commons voted 207-121 to reject an attempt by the official opposition Conservative party to oust Trudeau, having previously voted 211-120 against the same measure last Thursday.[2][3]
  • The Conservatives, who are leading in the polls, argue that Canadians can't afford the proposed federal carbon tax increase. They also accuse Trudeau of being in charge of rising crime and high prices.[4]
  • The Conservative Party (43%) currently holds a 20-point lead over the Government (23%) in national polling, while earlier this month the New Democratic Party (17%) withdrew from their 2022 supply and confidence agreement with the Liberal Party last month.[5][6]
  • There are a total of 338 seats in Canada's House of Commons, with the Liberal Party holding 153 compared to the Conservative Party's 119, Bloc Québécois' 33, the New Democratic Party's 25, and the Green Party's two. Independents hold four seats, while there are two currently vacant.[7][8]

Sources: [1]BBC News, [2]Guardian, [3]Verity (a), [4]Reuters, [5]Verity (b), [6]Canada polls, [7]TheDailyGuardian and [8]Ourcommons.

Narratives

  • Left narrative, as provided by Prince Albert Daily Herald. While Poilievre may be enjoying current success by repeating a Trump-like message in Canada, there's plenty of time for these fortunes to change before Canada's next federal election. With the right spending more time complaining than presenting substantial policy, don't be surprised if voters do not buy the Conservative Party's superficial hype.
  • Right narrative, as provided by Southpeacenews. Many Canadians are rightfully holding Trudeau personally responsible for the rising inflation and high cost of living. His popularity has been declining for years, with most believing Poilievre has the best plan when it comes to crucial issues like housing, health care, and the economy. It's time for Trudeau to do what's best for the country — step down.

Predictions