At Least One Killed as Ukraine Launches Largest Drone Attack on Moscow

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Facts

  • Ukraine launched its largest drone attack on the Russian capital on Tuesday, killing at least one woman and damaging dozens of homes.[1]
  • Without specifying how many Ukrainian drones were deployed or how many evaded missile defenses, Russia's Defense Ministry said it shot down a total of 144 unmanned aerial vehicles over nine regions overnight — including 20 over the Moscow region.[2]
  • Flying restrictions were imposed at three of Moscow's four airports but were lifted before 8 am local time. Almost 50 flights had to be diverted, according to reports.[3][4]
  • The attack comes days after German Chancellor Olaf Scholz called for renewed urgency in seeking a negotiated settlement to the war. Scholz told German broadcaster ZDF that he had spoken with Ukrainian Pres. Volodymyr Zelenskyy and that they had both agreed on the need for a new peace conference that would this time also include Russia.[5]
  • According to a poll published in the Wall Street Journal on Tuesday, while a majority of Ukrainians continue to back fighting the war, a growing number are warming to the idea of negotiations with Russia. However, among soldiers and veterans, only 18% said they would support such talks.[6]
  • On the ground, according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), a US military-affiliated think tank that tracks troop positions in the war, Russian forces continued to regain positions lost to Ukraine in Kursk. In Donetsk, while Ukraine regained lost territory in Siversk, Russian forces advanced near Chasiv Yar and Pokrovsk. Russian military bloggers reported additional advances, but these were not independently confirmed by ISW.[7]

Sources: [1]CNN, [2]TASS (a), [3]TASS (b), [4]US News & World Report, [5]Associated Press, [6]The Wall Street Journal and [7]Understandingwar.

Narratives

  • Pro-establishment narrative, as provided by CNN. As a result of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the Kremlin launched thousands of drones and missiles into the country, killing thousands of people. In striking back, Ukraine is making ordinary Russians feel the price of Pres. Vladimir Putin's illegal invasion.
  • Pro-Russia narrative, as provided by TASS. As predicted by Russia, the worse that Ukraine does on the battlefield, despite the millions in military aid it receives, the more it will resort to terrorism by striking at civilians in Russia. Russia has a plan for dealing with this.

Predictions